Sabtu, 31 Mei 2008

The Secret of "Being" & Gratitude



What are your being right now? Your spiritual growth tells you that you are always in a state of being. Spirituality information about beingness allows us to use the law of attraction to "be" what we truly desire. Who you are being is always a choice. It is always your choice and yours alone.

Only you can be the example that we know of as you. What are you "being?" Is the example you display to the world in alignment with your highest vision of yourself? Are the words you speak words of love and compassion and understanding spoken through conscious evaluation of our thoughts and in alignment with who you choose to be?

When you use the great command "I am" you call forth creative power that will propel your chosen evolution forward in a powerful manner. Whether you declare that "I am stupid" or "I am wisdom" makes no difference to the universe. Are you beginning to see how powerful your words really are?

The universe doesn't judge your choices. It merely hears your intentions and desires through your thoughts and then emphasized through your words and then acted out through your deeds, then mirrors what you desire into your reality. Remember, be the change that you wish to see because that is what will be. The life you are living right now is a total reflection of what you are being. How could it be otherwise?

You are living right now, and always have been living, in the present moment of now. Your past experiences are gone and the future is yet to be. There is only the present moment of now.

Who you are being "right now" is who you are. You can change that beingness in the next moment of now if you so desire. You merely choose who you desire to "be" and then you "be it." This isn't magic or rocket science. This is the reality of the process of life and this absolutely magnificent and wondrous tool we all possess called "choice."

Each choice is preceded by a thought and given power and impetus by our words. Our words are the commerce we use as we negotiate our way through this episode of our eternal life journey.

Words have the power to grease the wheels and smooth out the journey or they can cause heat and friction and overheat our "bearings" making us slow down and stop for repairs. Sometimes it is really hard to get out of the repair shop. Especially when you are living so unconsciously that you don't even realize that you have stopped.

But if you are reading this article, then I am confident (did you catch that "I am"?) that you are awake and aware that you are on this fantastic journey of this process we call Life. Because this is so, I want to talk to you about developing a "state of beingness" that will allow all the powerful words that you speak and write to be words that help create the vision that you aspire to.

This "state of being" that I want you to adopt as your second nature is to live wholly within an "attitude of gratitude."

This is a critical concept no matter where you are on the evolutionary wheel but I want to emphasis it here because this article is concerned with our words and how those words have the power of creation that can take us to where we want to go.

Words of gratitude will keep the evolutionary process moving at maximum efficiency. You see, when you speak words of gratitude you are placing yourself in a state of acceptance and love. Acceptance for "what is" and a love of the beneficent nature of the universe that provided whatever it is to you.

You are acknowledging your power as a creator and giving thanks to your co-creative partner in this giant collaboration, God.

Now, here is the key. Not only should you be verbally thankful for what already "is," but you should also declare through your written and spoken words your gratitude for what is yet to be.

By Richard Blackstone

Selasa, 20 Mei 2008

Teknik dan Strategy Forex Trading 2

Teknik Trading Forex Double ImpactTeknik ini menggunakan teknik average secara simultan. Hanya cocok digunakan untuk mata uang yang memiliki range harian tak terlalu besar dan stabil. Contoh : USD/CHF, dll. Idealnya pair yang digunakan juga memiliki spread kecil dan dikombinasikan dengan broker yang memiliki fitur robot trading (Expert Advisor)Dasar dari Teknik Double Impact ini adalah prinsip keseimbangan yang berlaku di alam semesta, sebagai contoh jika ada baik tentu ada buruk, adanya siang dan malam, adanya lelaki dan perempuan. Begitupun di forex, bila ada kenaikan tentu ada penurunan, tidak mungkin pasar yang trending (bullish) akan seterusnya tetap naik dan juga sebaliknya jika bearish, pada suatu saat tentu akan berbalik.Hal ini juga disebabkan karena adanya rasa takut (fear) dari manusia (trader), sehingga jika mereka Long (Buy) dan telah mendapatkan keuntungan tertentu yang dianggap cukup, maka mereka cenderung untuk menjualnya karena takut bila harga kembali turun (rugi). Selain itu banyak pula faktor-faktor lain yang mempengaruhi, sebagai contoh berita/news (fundamental analysis), prediksi indikator (technical analysys), pivot point, dan lain-lain.Faktor-faktor yang harus anda perhatikan dalam menggunakan Teknik forex ini adalah adalah :1. Mata Uang yang anda gunakan HARUS memiliki Range High-Low Harian tak terlalu besar dan stabil.Contoh : USD/CHF, dll2. Jumlah lot yang anda gunakan dan kecukupan modal andaPastikan anda mengerti dengan baik perhitungan leverage, margin, dan kekuatan modal yang anda punyai.3. Jika ada News penting yang berhubungan dengan mata uang yang ditradingkan, anda harus lebih berhati-hati atau menutup posisi sebelum news diumumkan (atau bahkan tidak trading pada hari itu).Contoh: Bila trade USD/CHF maka harus berhati-hati dengan news US dan Swiss.Bila anda masih pemula dan ingin mengetahui jadwal news penting dari market di seluruh dunia, silahkan membaca berita-berita (news) dari "economic calendar" di website http://www.forexfactory.comCara Step by Step trading menggunakan Teknik Double Impact exclusive milik www.BelajarForexPro.com yaitu :1. Sesuaikan modal yang anda miliki dengan minimum lot broker forex anda, yaitu setidaknya modal anda adalah 1x minimum lot broker anda. (contoh: untuk trade di broker yang minimum open Lotnya adalah mini lot maka anda harus memiliki modal $10000).2. Open order Buy atau Sell (terserah) dengan Lot 1x modal anda pada harga Market. Anda juga dapat menggunakan indikator apa saja untuk sekedar memprediksi open pertama kali yaitu misalnya perpotongan EMA 13 dengan EMA 50, MACD, dll. Sebagai catatan, anda tak perlu pening memikirkan harus open Buy atau Sell karena prinsip keseimbangan yang menjadi dasar teknik ini. Jadi silahkan anda buka sembarang posisi karena teknik ini tetap akan profitable meskipun anda keliru memilih Buy atau Sell.3. Sebagai contoh open pertama kali adalah Buy 1 Lot pada harga 1.3000, TP 20 point pada 1.3020. Kemudian anda dapat order pending order "Buy Limit" 2 Lot pada jarak 20 point di bawahnya yaitu pada 1.2980, TP 1.3000. Berikutnya order lagi "Buy Limit" 4 Lot pada 20 point di bawah order sebelumnya yaitu pada 1.2960, TP 1.2980 dan seterusnya hingga kira-kira totalnya 5 posisi, (terdiri dari 1 open posisi dan 4 pending order). Lima posisi ini tidak mutlak tapi anda dapat menyesuaikan sendiri dengan kebutuhan margin dan sisa dana anda. Ingat ! Jangan sampai terkena Margin Call.Intinya jumlah Lot adalah anda lipatkan 2x order sebelumnya yaitu : 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, dan seterusnya. Jarak Gap antar order adalah 20 point, Take Profit Level sama dengan Gap (20 point) atau lebih dari Gap (contoh: 25 point). Stop Loss 0.Untuk meminimalkan resiko anda bisa mengubah setting GAP dengan 25, 30, atau sesuai selera anda dengan konsekuensi anda tahu karakter pergerakan mata uang yang anda gunakan, dan jangan lupa untuk menyesuaikan TP level dengan GAP yang anda set.Ilustrasi :(A) Buy 1 lot 1.3000 TP 1.3020 (market)(B) Buy 2 lot 1.2980 TP 1.3000 (pending Limit Buy)(C) Buy 4 lot 1.2960 TP 1.2980 (pending Limit Buy)(D) Buy 8 lot 1.2940 TP 1.2960 (pending Limit Buy)(E) Buy 16 lot 1.2920 TP 1.2940 (pending Limit Buy)(F) Buy 32 lot 1.2900 TP 1.2920 (pending Limit Buy)4. Jika Take Profit (TP) dengan LOT TERBESAR tersentuh anda harus close semua posisi secara bersamaan.Contoh bila posisi A dan B masih open (loss ataupun BEP), tapi posisi C sudah tersentuh TP maka anda bisa close semua posisi bersamaan. Anda tak perlu risau karena bila posisi dengan lot TERBESAR telah terkena TP maka loss dari posisi-posisi sebelumnya (posisi A dan B) akan tercover dan anda masih profit karena Lotnya adalah 2x lipat lot posisi sebelumnya. Logika dari teknik ini adalah bila anda menggunakan 20 point gap, dan dana anda hanya mampu hingga 5 level pending order yaitu B hingga F, maka jarak cover teknik ini hanya sekitar 100 point. Dalam arti bila pasar turun drastis sebanyak 100 point tanpa ada kenaikan sebesar TP anda (20 point) maka dana anda bisa terkena Margin Call !Karena itu, kami telah uraikan di atas bagaimana cara untuk mengurangi resiko anda dengan cara menaikkan Gap dan TP anda misalnya menjadi 25 point, sehingga coverage dari teknik Double Impact ini adalah 25 x 5 = 125 point, dengan resiko posisi anda lebih lama mendulang profit, tapi lebih aman.5. Kami sangat menyarankan anda Cut Loss (menutup) semua posisi bila floating loss anda telah mencapai X persen dari dana anda. Sebagai contoh jika modal anda $10000 lalu anda toleransi hanya 5% loss maka anda bisa close semua posisi bila floating loss anda telah mencapai sekitar $500. Lalu silahkan open lagi posisi yang SEARAH dengan yang anda close tadi. Contoh bila anda cut loss posisi BUY, anda harus mengulang dari awal membuka BUY baru (kembali ke step nomer 2). Mengapa harus searah ? karena sesuai logika keseimbangan, semakin lama bergerak ke satu arah maka semakin besar kemungkinan ia berbalik. Jadi bila anda open BUY dan harga bergerak berlawanan arah (turun) terus menerus, semakin lama maka kemungkinan untuk naik semakin besar, sehingga sebaiknya anda open dengan BUY.Memang pada awalnya anda merasa berat untuk meng-cut loss sekian persen dari dana, tapi cara ini jauh lebih aman daripada resiko terkena Margin Call. Ingat jangan serakah ! Anda tak perlu risau karena bila anda konsisten, loss tersebut akan kembali dalam waktu singkat dan bahkan menghasilkan profit yang luar biasa.

Teknik dan Strategy Forex Trading 1

Teknik Trading Forex Langit Bumi# Download dan install software jam atom (jam paling akurat di dunia) di website http://www.qlock.com. Software ini sangat penting dalam trading forex menggunakan teknik Langit & Bumi. Setelah anda install, lalu jangan lupa anda set ke jam local anda dan waktu new york (2 jam sekaligus). Gunakan format jam, menit, dan detik, karena defaultnya hanya Jam dan menit saja.# Gunakan pair GBP/USD (untuk news US dan UK) dan USD/CAD (untuk news Canada). Sebelum anda trade bisa mengecek range HIGH LOW daily mata uang yang bersangkutan apa sudah di atas 100. Kalau sudah di atas 100 lebih baik anda set target kecil saja atau no trade. Untuk idealnya adalah di bawah 70 poin.#Silahkan cek Jadwal News Penting di http://www.belajarforexpro.com/langit.php# Gunakan 10X sampai dengan 50X modal anda (dengan catatan tak ada posisi lain yang anda buka). Contoh bila modal anda $1000 anda bisa gunakan Quantity 10000 atau 50000.# Set chart ke timeframe 5 menit. Pesan 2 pending order Buy Stop dan Sell Stop 8 atau 10 poin (kecuali Non Farm Payroll sebaiknya 15 poin atau lebih misalnya 16-18 poin) di ATAS dan di BAWAH HARGA SAAT ITU pada TEPAT 2 atau 1,5 menit sebelum news keluar (kurang dari 1 menit bila anda menggunakan robot). (Contoh : harga sekarang Bid/Offer 1.1950/55, pasang Stop Buy di 1.1955 + 0.0010 = 1.1965 dan Stop Sell di 1.1950 - 0.0010 = 1.1940).Sangat disarankan memakai stop loss 20 sampai dengan 30 poin (max) dan sedangkan targetnya bisa disesuaikan tingkat kepetingan news yg akan keluar misalnya 10, 15 atau 20 (untuk amannya set target 10 jika jarak dari current price adalah 11 point, karena biasanya berita-berita yang cukup penting biasanya bergerak minimal sekitar 20-an poin. Ingat yang penting adalah trading dengan aman! Khusus untuk Non Farm Payroll bisa diset target 15 hingga 30 poin). Untuk broker tertentu target Mungkin anda berpikir "kenapa targetnya kecil sekali ?" Jawabannya : karena kami sangat memprioritaskan "Konstanitas" dan "Keamanan" !Tapi coba anda perhitungkan. Anggap saja 1 bulan anda bisa mendapatkan minimal 100 point. Bila modal anda $1000, maka lot yang anda gunakan (contoh 40x modal) adalah 40 X 1000 = 40K Lot. Untuk Gbp/Usd nilai per point adalah $4 bila menggunakan 40K Lot. Maka profit anda per bulan setidaknya 100 x 4 = $400 atau 40%. Cukup luar biasa. Mungkin teknik lain dapat menghasilkan ratusan point per bulan. Tapi pertanyaannya apakah hasil tersebut konstan setiap bulan ? Percuma saja bila beberapa bulan profit ratusan point tapi bulan berikutnya loss ratusan point atau bahkan terkena Margin Call.# Setelah pending order selesai anda aktifkan. Monitor terus chart menjelang news keluar hingga 2 menit setelah news keluar. Ada 2 kemungkinan :1) Jika pasar bergerak cepat setelah news diumumkan maka biasanya salah satu dari dua order tersebut akan TEREKSEKUSI. Begitu salah satu order TEREKSEKUSI, SEGERA cancel order yang lain TANPA menunggu apakah posisi open anda sudah profit.Ada 2 kemungkinan :A. TARGET anda akan terkena dan Profit dalam waktu kurang dari 1 menit setelah pengumuman (misalnya news US keluar pukul 20.30, maka biasanya tidak sampai 20.31 salah satu dari kedua order akan tersentuh atau bahkan profit).B. TARGET anda belum terkena tapi posisi anda yang tereksekusi tadi masih open. Jika jarak hi low sebelum news sudah 100, maka sebaiknya anda close meskipun anda profit / loss sedikit atau maksimal menunggu hingga hingga 1 menit. Tapi bila hi low harian sebelum berita diumumkan masih di bawah 70 poin (ideal) maka maksimal dapat anda biarkan hingga 2 menit. (Bagi anda yang mengerti fundamental news, paling baik bila anda dapat mengetahui hasil news aktualnya, bila selisih hasil news aktual dan forecast cukup besar maka anda dapat menunggu hingga 2 menit atau bahkan lebih karena kemungkinan harga akan terus bergerak)Begitu salah satu order tersentuh, tunggu hingga 1 atau 2 menit. Bila dalam 1 atau 2 menit belum menyentuh target, maka dapat anda close manualKhusus untuk Non Farm Payroll tak perlu dicancel setelah salah satu tersentuh karena seandainya posisi buy anda rugi karena harga berbalik maka tak lama kemudian posisi sell anda akan profit, sehingga setidaknya loss anda dapat diminimalkan.2) Jika pasar bergerak lambat atau tak bergerak dan dua order tersebut tak tersentuh hingga 1 menit setelah news diumumkan, segera cancel keduanya.#Performance teknik ini dapat dilihat di http://www.belajarforexpro.com/langit.phpNB : Hasil eksekusi trading bisa berbeda dengan yang tercantum di website partner kami : http://www.belajarforexpro.com/langit.php karena berbeda Broker Forex

Apakah kelebihan Forex dibandingkan investasi lain?

Tanpa Komisi (Forex Trading Online)
Anda bisa mendapatkan keuntungan 2 arah yaitu meskipun market turun ataupun naik
Forex adalah pasar 24 jam secara berkesinambungan sehingga anda mempunyai kemungkinan menghasilkan uang 24 jam penuh. Forex memungkinkan anda melakukan transaksi 5x24 jam seminggu, mulai hari Minggu pukul 17.00 Waktu New York hingga Jumat pukul 17.00 Waktu new York.
Forex adalah produk investasi yang sangat liquid, dalam arti anda dapat kapan pun menarik dana anda tanpa dikenakan pinalti
Anda bisa menggunakan leverage faktor multiplier/pengali yaitu misalnya anda menggunakan modal $1000 bisa trading menggunakan $100000 untuk broker yang mempunyai perbandingan leverage 1:100. Contoh : anda mempunyai modal 1 juta dan dengan modal 1 juta tersebut anda bisa mendapatkan pinjaman 100 kalinya atau 100 juta, maka keuntungan anda akan jauh lebih besar dibandingkan tanpa menggunakan leverage yaitu dengan hanya menggunakan modal 1 juta saja

Selasa, 13 Mei 2008

Perusahaan Khusus yang akan membayar sebanyak Rp50.000.000 SEBULAN tanpa perlu melakukan apa-apa ! Sangat mudah siapa pun bisa melakukannya !

Baru-baru ini kami telah membuat kajian dan penyiasatan mengenai satu sistem keuangan yang begitu mudah untuk dilakukan , yang mana kami tidak pernah memikirkannya dahulu. Pada dasarnya anda akan menerima bayaran walaupun anda tidak melakukan apa-apa pekerjaan ! Perusahaan yang dimaksudkan ialah pengendalian sistem telepon berbayar 0809# .

Kami pasti yakin anda sudah biasa dengan iklan komersial di surat kabar atau majalah yang menawarkan program ‘sambungan sahabat’ artis , sepak bola, telekuiz , dan lain-lain rancangan berbayar .

Beberapa tahun dahulu hanya ada beberapa buah perusahaan pengendali rancangan berbayar seperti ini, tetapi sekarang ia sudah banyak ditawarkan . Kami telah meluangkan waktu dan banyak berbicara dengan orang-orang yang terlibat dalam industri sambungan 0809#, dan apa yang kami temui adalah sangat mengejutkan sekali .

Banyak orang yang memperoleh penghasilan lebih dari Rp50.000.000 hanya dengan memperkenalkan sambungan ini. Kami telah memperoleh Rp28.000.000 pada bulan pertama beroperasi. Anda boleh menghubungi perusahaan pengendali sambungan 0809# ini dan menyatakan bahwa anda mau membangunkan atau memulai sambungan berbayar anda sendiri .

Anda akan mendapati pegawai mereka sangat baik dan bersedia menolong anda. Mungkin sebagian daripada mereka adalah sebagai broker yang menjadi orang tengah yang bisa membantu anda mempromosikan sambungan khusus yang anda minta pada waktu yang sesuai .

Anda akan menjadi ‘pemasok informasi ’ atau information provider (IP). Orang banyak akan menelepon nombor yang anda iklankan untuk mengetahui tentang lagu-lagu , horoskop, sahabat, cerita seram, pelajaran dan informasi -informasi penting terkini .

Anda boleh menawarkan apa-apa saja tajuk/judul yang difikirkan sesuai dan bisa menarik perhatian orang banyak untuk menelepon sambungan yang anda promosikan .

Sebagian daripada perusahaan pengendali ini sudah mempunyai program-program khusus yang disediakan dan anda hanya perlu memilih saja dan memberitahu mereka kapan anda mau memulainya .

Pada kebiasaannya anda hanya perlu memperuntukkan waktu sebanyak 1 jam sebulan untuk membuat beberapa buah iklan di dalam beberapa buah perusahaan penerbitan yang mengiklankan sambungan 0809# milik anda .

Secara otomatis orang banyak akan menelepon nombor sambungan anda untuk mendapatkan berbagai informasi yang dikehendaki dengan cepat tanpa melalui cara pos yang agak lambat.

Anda akan mendapat bayaran walaupun daripada mereka yang tidak mempunyai kartu kredit. Inilah salah satu cara mudah dimana anda bisa mendapatkan uang yang banyak hanya dengan memberikan nombor telepon istimewa anda kepada mereka . Itulah kelebihan dan kehebatan program ini ! .

Percayalah , kami telah melihat sendiri laporan-laporan di dalam komputer mengenai orang-orang yang telah memperoleh penghasilan lumayan daripada nombor sambungan khusus yang istimewa ini . Ia sungguh hebat !!.

Mulailah dari sekarang !

Sabtu, 10 Mei 2008

5 Strategi Kesuksesan Dan Kekayaan

1. Sikap

Sikap adalah satu faktor penentu kesuksesan dalam apapun juga perkara yang anda lakukan. Einstein mengatakan bahwa sikap adalah 99% penentu kesuksesan atau kegagalan seseorang.

Anda semestinya mempunyai sikap yang positif dalam apapun juga bidang yang anda lakukan, jika anda mau memperoleh kesuksesan.

Apakah anda sedang sadar, hendak melelapkan mata, bekerja – apa pun juga yang anda lakukan, anda semestinya menanamkan sikap positif. Apabila suatu perkara tidak menjadi seperti yang anda harapkan, anda seharusnya terus bersikap positif. Jika anda bangun lewat, jangan merasa bosan, sebaliknya anda harus berfikiran positif dan berkata kepada diri anda sendiri “ ok, hari ini aku terlewat bangun, sekarang aku perlu lakukan yang terbaik untuk hari ini”.

Saya tidak percaya bahwa mereka yang sukses pada hari ini bisa mencapai tahap itu tanpa mempunyai sikap yang baik dan positif.

Sebenarnya lebih mudah untuk berfikiran negatif, dan untuk pengetahuan anda, untuk berfikiran positif memerlukan sedikit usaha. Tempelkan satu nota di atas meja anda, di dalam mobil, cermin dikamar mandi yang tertulis “SIKAP”. Apabila anda melihat nota itu, berhenti sejenak dan berfikir tentang perkara yang sudah berlaku pada hari itu, dan jika ada kalanya anda merasa tidak berfikiran positif, fikirkan semula dan teruskan kerja yang anda lakukan.

Jika anda bersikap positif, semua perkara yang anda lakukan akan menjadi lebih mudah. Jika ada perkara yang tidak suka anda lakukan, jangan biarkan sehingga pada saat akhir, bahkan lakukan dulu perkara tersebut dan fikirkan “Saya mau mengerjakan kerja ini sampai selesai kemudian saya bisa buat kerja yang saya suka !”. Cobalah tehnik ini dan anda pasti akan merasakan perbedaannya.


2. Ambil tindakan

Ini merupakan satu isu yang besar kepada kebanyakan orang, mereka mempunyai ide bisnis yang baik, mereka memberitahu kepada kawan-kawan tentang bisnis yang hendak dimulai, kawan-kawan menjadi positif dan mendukung. Kemudian mereka beritahu kepada beberapa orang lain sehinggalah menjadi senyap begitu saja.

Jika anda mempunyai ide yang bagus tidak menjadi masalah, tetapi anda perlu membuat tindakan. Kemudian apabila anda sudah mulai melakukan sesuatu, anda perlu mengambil beberapa lagi langkah seterusnya sehinggalah mencapai kesuksesan.

Jika anda mempunyai peluang atau ide pada masa ini, mungkin sesuatu yang sudah lama anda fikirkan, berhenti berbicara dan berfikir tentangnya – LAKUKAN SAJA.

Saya mempunyai banyak sahabat yang datang berjumpa dan berbicara tentang ide-ide bisnis seperti seolah-olah mereka yang menyuruh saya melakukan bisnis tersebut. Saya bisa menolong mereka, beri pendapat, tetapi yang menyedihkan ialah 90% daripada mereka tidak pernah membuat tindakan. Jika anda tidak membuat tindakan, anda membohongi hak anda untuk satu kesuksesan.


3. Tukar Bagaimana Anda Diprogramkan

Sejak dari bangku persekolahan lagi kita selalu terfikir seperti yang selalu diberitahu oleh orang-orang dewasa bahwa “belajar yang pandai supaya dapat pekerjaan yang baik”. Saya harap anda jangan salah anggap, saya pikir apabila kita di sekolah kita perlu belajar apa yang kita butuhkan kemudian buka bisnis anda sendiri!

80% jutawan pada hari ini mencapai impian mereka dengan memulai bisnis sendiri. Mungkin anda sudah maklum, jika anda benar-benar mau kebebasan keuangan, masa depannya ialah dengan membuka usaha sendiri.

Sudah tentu bisnis sendiri harus menanggung resiko, dan anda bisa mengurangi resiko tersebut dengan memulainya secara sampingan, dan gunakan tehnik yang saya tunjukkan dengan modal yang kecil, tetapi imbalannya sangat banyak dan menguntungkan.


4. Tuliskan Apa Yang Anda Pikirkan

Saya tidak peduli sebaik apapun memori yang anda miliki, tetapi mengapa perlu dibiarkan saja. Mengapa perlu menanggung resiko jika terlupa sesuatu yang penting? Tuliskan perkara yang ada di pikiran supaya anda menolong melegakan otak anda yang penuh dengan informasi. Apabila anda menulisnya anda tidak perlu takut jika terlupa pada waktu yang diperlukan.

Jika anda mempunyai ide – tuliskan. Jika anda mempunyai masalah – tuliskan.

Apabila anda menulis suatu masalah, anda akan mendapati bahwa anda dapat berpikir dengan lebih jelas, dan satu waktu nanti perkara tersebut dapat diselesaikan. Tehnik ini tampak mudah, tapi jika anda mulai menggunakannya, anda pasti akan lihat perbedaannya kelak.

5. Tetapkan Tujuan Dan Impian

Jika anda tidak mempunyai sasaran, anda tidak akan dapat apa-apa. Anda harus mempunyai tujuan hidup, anda perlu tahu ke mana impian/cita-cita anda, berusaha untuk mencapainya dan senantiasa ingat akan impian anda. Saya berjumpa dengan banyak orang yang mungkin tidak mengerti tentang konsep ini yang berkata “impian aku ialah untuk menjadi jutawan dalam waktu 5 tahun” tetapi apabila anda tanyakan bagaimana untuk mencapainya, mereka hanya diam saja.

Anda mesti mempunyai tujuan jangka panjang, untuk tempo 5 tahun yang akan datang, kemudian anda perlu berusaha untuk mencapainya, kemudian tetapkan impian jangka pendek yang lebih mudah dicapai contohnya impian setahun, sebulan dan seminggu.

Saya harap 5 strategi di atas dapat menolong anda untuk mencapai kesuksesan dengan lebih mudah dan cepat.

Senin, 05 Mei 2008

Apa yang diperlukan untuk memulai Trading Forex (Valas) ?

  1. Personal Computer (PC) (untuk anda yang sering bepergian, ada broker tertentu yang memiliki fasilitas trading dengan PDA)
  2. Koneksi Internet yang stabil dan cukup cepat (minimal dial up connection, sebaiknya broadband seperti ADSL, Cable, dan lain-lain)
  3. Modal, jika anda pemula silahkan menggunakan demo dulu sebelum memulai trading sesungguhnya. Bagi anda yang ingin serius di forex, kami sarankan minimal $300 atau sangat direkomendasikan minimal $500 untuk trading Mini Lot (10.000).
  4. Broker Forex (Valas) yang aman dan terpercaya sehingga keamanan dana anda terjamin

Apa kelebihan Trading Forex (Valas) Online dibandingkan dengan trading secara tradisional (offline)?

  • Banyak broker online yang memberikan fasilitas bebas komisi, sedangkan broker offline di Indonesia biasanya mengenakan charge $50 setiap settlement/open hingga close posisi
  • Anda bisa memantau secara langsung posisi yang anda buka dan keputusan beli atau jual 100% di tangan anda. Baik kapan anda ingin menutup posisi, berapa besar yang mau anda mainkan, pasang di posisi berapa, dll.
  • Anda dapat belajar forex secara langsung praktik tanpa menggunakan jasa broker yang seringkali kurang bertanggung jawab terhadap untung/rugi dari kliennya (karena meskipun menang atau kalah, pada akhirnya broker anda akan tetap mendapat komisi)
  • Anda bisa menggunakan jumlah lot flexible (sangat membantu anda yang mempunyai modal terbatas)
  • Spread (selisih harga jual dan beli) yang kecil (semakin kecil semakin baik) sehingga kemungkinan profit anda lebih tinggi
  • Jarak pesan posisi (pending order) yang relatif kecil (10 poin) dan tutup posisi yang biasanya hanya 1-5 poin saja. Bandingkan dengan broker offline yang minimal pending order harus 30 poin dari running dan minimal tutup posisi 10 poin agar bisa impas.
  • Anda bisa trading langsung dengan penyedia layanan (broker) tanpa perantara (middleman, seringkali di Indonesia disalahartikan sebagai broker)
  • Anda akan mendapatkan pengalaman yang sangat berharga dengan cara berlatih trading dan praktik langsung dengan cara membuka account demo secara gratis dan menggunakan sofware trading yang banyak tersedia di internet.
  • Tersedia banyak sekali indikator, analisa, dan software trading yang sangat lengkap di internet.

ISLAMIC FOREX TRADING

1. The Basic Exchange ContractsThere is a general consensus among Islamic jurists on the view that currencies of different countries can be exchanged on a spot basis at a rate different from unity, since currencies of different countries are distinct entities with different values or intrinsic worth, and purchasing power. There also seems to be a general agreement among a majority of scholars on the view that currency exchange on a forward basis is not permissible, that is, when the rights and obligations of both parties relate to a future date. However, there is considerable difference of opinion among jurists when the rights of either one of the parties, which is same as obligation of the counterparty, is deferred to a future date.
To elaborate, let us consider the example of two individuals A and B who belong to two different countries, India and US respectively. A intends to sell Indian rupees and buy U.S dollars. The converse is true for B. The rupee-dollar exchange rate agreed upon is 1:20 and the transaction involves buying and selling of $50. The first situation is that A makes a spot payment of Rs1000 to B and accepts payment of $50 from B. The transaction is settled on a spot basis from both ends. Such transactions are valid and Islamically permissible. There are no two opinions about the same. The second possibility is that settlement of the transaction from both ends is deferred to a future date, say after six months from now. This implies that both A and B would make and accept payment of Rs1000 or $50, as the case may be, after six months. The predominant view is that such a contract is not Islamically permissible. A minority view considers it permissible. The third scenario is that the transaction is partly settled from one end only. For example, A makes a payment of Rs1000 now to B in lieu of a promise by B to pay $50 to him after six months. Alternatively, A accepts $50 now from B and promises to pay Rs1000 to him after six months. There are diametrically opposite views on the permissibility of such contracts which amount to bai-salam in currencies. The purpose of this paper is to present a comprehensive analysis of various arguments in support and against the permissibility of these basic contracts involving currencies. The first form of contracting involving exchange of countervalues on a spot basis is beyond any kind of controversy. Permissibility or otherwise of the second type of contract in which delivery of one of the countervalues is deferred to a future date, is generally discussed in the framework of riba prohibition. Accordingly we discuss this contract in detail in section 2 dealing with the issue of prohibition of riba. Permissibility of the third form of contract in which delivery of both the countervalues is deferred, is generally discussed within the framework of reducing risk and uncertainty or gharar involved in such contracts. This, therefore, is the central theme of section 3 which deals with the issue of gharar. Section 4 attempts a holistic view of the Sharia relates issues as also the economic significance of the basic forms of contracting in the currency market.
2. The Issue of Riba ProhibitionThe divergence of views1 on the permissibility or otherwise of exchange contracts in currencies can be traced primarily to the issue of riba prohibition.
The need to eliminate riba in all forms of exchange contracts is of utmost importance. Riba in its Sharia context is generally defined2 as an unlawful gain derived from the quantitative inequality of the countervalues in any transaction purporting to effect the exchange of two or more species (anwa), which belong to the same genus (jins) and are governed by the same efficient cause (illa). Riba is generally classified into riba al-fadl (excess) and riba al-nasia (deferment) which denote an unlawful advantage by way of excess or deferment respectively. Prohibition of the former is achieved by a stipulation that the rate of exchange between the objects is unity and no gain is permissible to either party. The latter kind of riba is prohibited by disallowing deferred settlement and ensuring that the transaction is settled on the spot by both the parties. Another form of riba is called riba al-jahiliyya or pre-Islamic riba which surfaces when the lender asks the borrower on the maturity date if the latter would settle the debt or increase the same. Increase is accompanied by charging interest on the amount initially borrowed.
The prohibition of riba in the exchange of currencies belonging to different countries requires a process of analogy (qiyas). And in any such exercise involving analogy (qiyas), efficient cause (illa) plays an extremely important role. It is a common efficient cause (illa), which connects the object of the analogy with its subject, in the exercise of analogical reasoning. The appropriate efficient cause (illa) in case of exchange contracts has been variously defined by the major schools of Fiqh. This difference is reflected in the analogous reasoning for paper currencies belonging to different countries.
A question of considerable significance in the process of analogous reasoning relates to the comparison between paper currencies with gold and silver. In the early days of Islam, gold and silver performed all the functions of money (thaman). Currencies were made of gold and silver with a known intrinsic value (quantum of gold or silver contained in them). Such currencies are described as thaman haqiqi, or naqdain in Fiqh literature. These were universally acceptable as principal means of exchange, accounting for a large chunk of transactions. Many other commodities, such as, various inferior metals also served as means of exchange, but with limited acceptability. These are described as fals in Fiqh literature. These are also known as thaman istalahi because of the fact that their acceptability stems not from their intrinsic worth, but due to the status accorded by the society during a particular period of time. The above two forms of currencies have been treated very differently by early Islamic jurists from the standpoint of permissibility of contracts involving them. The issue that needs to be resolved is whether the present age paper currencies fall under the former category or the latter. One view is that these should be treated at par with thaman haqiqi or gold and silver, since these serve as the principal means of exchange and unit of account like the latter. Hence, by analogous reasoning, all the Sharia-related norms and injunctions applicable to thaman haqiqi should also be applicable to paper currency. Exchange of thaman haqiqi is known as bai-sarf, and hence, the transactions in paper currencies should be governed by the Sharia rules relevant for bai-sarf. The contrary view asserts that paper currencies should be treated in a manner similar to fals or thaman istalahi because of the fact that their face value is different from their intrinsic worth. Their acceptability stems from their legal status within the domestic country or global economic importance (as in case of US dollars, for instance).
2.1. A Synthesis of Alternative Views
2.1.1. Analogical Reasoning (Qiyas) for Riba Prohibition
The prohibition of riba is based on the tradition that the holy prophet (peace be upon him) said, "Sell gold for gold, silver for silver, wheat for wheat, barley for barley, date for date, salt for salt, in same quantities on the spot; and when the commodities are different, sell as it suits you, but on the spot." Thus, the prohibition of riba applies primarily to the two precious metals (gold and silver) and four other commodities (wheat, barley, dates and salt). It also applies, by analogy (qiyas) to all species which are governed by the same efficient cause (illa) or which belong to any one of the genera of the six objects cited in the tradition. However, there is no general agreement among the various schools of Fiqh and even scholars belonging to the same school on the definition and identification of efficient cause (illa) of riba.
For the Hanafis, efficient cause (illa) of riba has two dimensions: the exchanged articles belong to the same genus (jins); these possess weight (wazan) or measurability (kiliyya). If in a given exchange, both the elements of efficient cause (illa) are present, that is, the exchanged countervalues belong to the same genus (jins) and are all weighable or all measurable, then no gain is permissible (the exchange rate must be equal to unity) and the exchange must be on a spot basis. In case of gold and silver, the two elements of efficient cause (illa) are: unity of genus (jins) and weighability. This is also the Hanbali view according to one version3. (A different version is similar to the Shafii and Maliki view, as discussed below.) Thus, when gold is exchanged for gold, or silver is exchanged for silver, only spot transactions without any gain are permissible. It is also possible that in a given exchange, one of the two elements of efficient cause (illa) is present and the other is absent. For example, if the exchanged articles are all weighable or measurable but belong to different genus (jins) or, if the exchanged articles belong to same genus (jins) but neither is weighable nor measurable, then exchange with gain (at a rate different from unity) is permissible, but the exchange must be on a spot basis. Thus, when gold is exchanged for silver, the rate can be different from unity but no deferred settlement is permissible. If none of the two elements of efficient cause (illa) of riba are present in a given exchange, then none of the injunctions for riba prohibition apply. Exchange can take place with or without gain and both on a spot or deferred basis.
Considering the case of exchange involving paper currencies belonging to different countries, riba prohibition would require a search for efficient cause (illa). Currencies belonging to different countries are clearly distinct entities; these are legal tender within specific geographical boundaries with different intrinsic worth or purchasing power. Hence, a large majority of scholars perhaps rightly assert that there is no unity of genus (jins). Additionally, these are neither weighable nor measurable. This leads to a direct conclusion that none of the two elements of efficient cause (illa) of riba exist in such exchange. Hence, the exchange can take place free from any injunction regarding the rate of exchange and the manner of settlement. The logic underlying this position is not difficult to comprehend. The intrinsic worth of paper currencies belonging to different countries differ as these have different purchasing power. Additionally, the intrinsic value or worth of paper currencies cannot be identified or assessed unlike gold and silver which can be weighed. Hence, neither the presence of riba al-fadl (by excess), nor riba al-nasia (by deferment) can be established.
The Shafii school of Fiqh considers the efficient cause (illa) in case of gold and silver to be their property of being currency (thamaniyya) or the medium of exchange, unit of account and store of value . This is also the Maliki view. According to one version of this view, even if paper or leather is made the medium of exchange and is given the status of currency, then all the rules pertaining to naqdain, or gold and silver apply to them. Thus, according to this version, exchange involving currencies of different countries at a rate different from unity is permissible, but must be settled on a spot basis. Another version of the above two schools of thought is that the above cited efficient cause (illa) of being currency (thamaniyya) is specific to gold and silver, and cannot be generalized. That is, any other object, if used as a medium of exchange, cannot be included in their category. Hence, according to this version, the Sharia injunctions for riba prohibition are not applicable to paper currencies. Currencies belonging to different countries can be exchanged with or without gain and both on a spot or deferred basis.
Proponents of the earlier version cite the case of exchange of paper currencies belonging to the same country in defense of their version. The consensus opinion of jurists in this case is that such exchange must be without any gain or at a rate equal to unity and must be settled on a spot basis. What is the rationale underlying the above decision? If one considers the Hanafi and the first version of Hanbali position then, in this case, only one dimension of the efficient cause (illa) is present, that is, they belong to the same genus (jins). But paper currencies are neither weighable nor measurable. Hence, Hanafi law would apparently permit exchange of different quantities of the same currency on a spot basis. Similarly if the efficient cause of being currency (thamaniyya) is specific only to gold and silver, then Shafii and Maliki law would also permit the same. Needless to say, this amounts to permitting riba-based borrowing and lending. This shows that, it is the first version of the Shafii and Maliki thought which underlies the consensus decision of prohibition of gain and deferred settlement in case of exchange of currencies belonging to the same country. According to the proponents, extending this logic to exchange of currencies of different countries would imply that exchange with gain or at a rate different from unity is permissible (since there no unity of jins), but settlement must be on a spot basis.
2.1.2 Comparison between Currency Exchange and Bai-Sarf
Bai-sarf is defined in Fiqh literature as an exchange involving thaman haqiqi, defined as gold and silver, which served as the principal medium of exchange for almost all major transactions.
Proponents of the view that any exchange of currencies of different countries is same as bai-sarf argue that in the present age paper currencies have effectively and completely replaced gold and silver as the medium of exchange. Hence, by analogy, exchange involving such currencies should be governed by the same Sharia rules and injunctions as bai-sarf. It is also argued that if deferred settlement by either parties to the contract is permitted, this would open the possibilities of riba-al nasia.
Opponents of categorization of currency exchange with bai-sarf however point out that the exchange of all forms of currency (thaman) cannot be termed as bai-sarf. According to this view bai-sarf implies exchange of currencies made of gold and silver (thaman haqiqi or naqdain) alone and not of money pronounced as such by the state authorities (thaman istalahi). The present age currencies are examples of the latter kind. These scholars find support in those writings which assert that if the commodities of exchange are not gold or silver, (even if one of these is gold or silver) then, the exchange cannot be termed as bai-sarf. Nor would the stipulations regarding bai-sarf be applicable to such exchanges. According to Imam Sarakhsi4 "when an individual purchases fals or coins made out of inferior metals, such as, copper (thaman istalahi) for dirhams (thaman haqiqi) and makes a spot payment of the latter, but the seller does not have fals at that moment, then such exchange is permissible........ taking possession of commodities exchanged by both parties is not a precondition" (while in case of bai-sarf, it is.) A number of similar references exist which indicate that jurists do not classify an exchange of fals (thaman istalahi) for another fals (thaman istalahi) or gold or silver (thaman haqiqi), as bai-sarf.
Hence, the exchanges of currencies of two different countries which can only qualify as thaman istalahi can not be categorized as bai-sarf. Nor can the constraint regarding spot settlement be imposed on such transactions. It should be noted here that the definition of bai-sarf is provided Fiqh literature and there is no mention of the same in the holy traditions. The traditions mention about riba, and the sale and purchase of gold and silver (naqdain) which may be a major source of riba, is described as bai-sarf by the Islamic jurists. It should also be noted that in Fiqh literature, bai-sarf implies exchange of gold or silver only; whether these are currently being used as medium of exchange or not. Exchange involving dinars and gold ornaments, both quality as bai-sarf. Various jurists have sought to clarify this point and have defined sarf as that exchange in which both the commodities exchanged are in the nature of thaman, not necessarily thaman themselves. Hence, even when one of the commodities is processed gold (say, ornaments), such exchange is called bai-sarf.
Proponents of the view that currency exchange should be treated in a manner similar to bai-sarf also derive support from writings of eminent Islamic jurists. According to Imam Ibn Taimiya "anything that performs the functions of medium of exchange, unit of account, and store of value is called thaman, (not necessarily limited to gold & silver). Similar references are available in the writings of Imam Ghazzali5 As far as the views of Imam Sarakhshi is concerned regarding exchange involving fals, according to them, some additional points need to be taken note of. In the early days of Islam, dinars and dirhams made of gold and silver were mostly used as medium of exchange in all major transactions. Only the minor ones were settled with fals. In other words, fals did not possess the characteristics of money or thamaniyya in full and was hardly used as store of value or unit of account and was more in the nature of commodity. Hence there was no restriction on purchase of the same for gold and silver on a deferred basis. The present day currencies have all the features of thaman and are meant to be thaman only. The exchange involving currencies of different countries is same as bai-sarf with difference of jins and hence, deferred settlement would lead to riba al-nasia.
Dr Mohamed Nejatullah Siddiqui illustrates this possibility with an example6. He writes "In a given moment in time when the market rate of exchange between dollar and rupee is 1:20, if an individual purchases $50 at the rate of 1:22 (settlement of his obligation in rupees deferred to a future date), then it is highly probable that he is , in fact, borrowing Rs. 1000 now in lieu of a promise to repay Rs. 1100 on a specified later date. (Since, he can obtain Rs 1000 now, exchanging the $50 purchased on credit at spot rate)" Thus, sarf can be converted into interest-based borrowing & lending.
2.1.3 Defining Thamaniyya is the Key ?
It appears from the above synthesis of alternative views that the key issue seems to be a correct definition of thamaniyya. For instance, a fundamental question that leads to divergent positions on permissibility relates to whether thamaniyya is specific to gold and silver, or can be associated with anything that performs the functions of money. We raise some issues below which may be taken into account in any exercise in reconsideration of alternative positions.
It should be appreciated that thamaniyya may not be absolute and may vary in degrees. It is true that paper currencies have completely replaced gold and silver as medium of exchange, unit of account and store of value. In this sense, paper currencies can be said to possess thamaniyya. However, this is true for domestic currencies only and may not be true for foreign currencies. In other words, Indian rupees possess thamaniyya within the geographical boundaries of India only, and do not have any acceptability in US. These cannot be said to possess thamaniyya in US unless a US citizen can use Indian rupees as a medium of exchange, or unit of account, or store of value. In most cases such a possibility is remote. This possibility is also a function of the exchange rate mechanism in place, such as, convertibility of Indian rupees into US dollars, and whether a fixed or floating exchange rate system is in place. For example, assuming free convertibility of Indian rupees into US dollars and vice versa, and a fixed exchange rate system in which the rupee-dollar exchange rate is not expected to increase or decrease in the foreseeable future, thamaniyya of rupee in US is considerably improved. The example cited by Dr Nejatullah Siddiqui also appears quite robust under the circumstances. Permission to exchange rupees for dollars on a deferred basis (from one end, of course) at a rate different from the spot rate (official rate which is likely to remain fixed till the date of settlement) would be a clear case of interest-based borrowing and lending. However, if the assumption of fixed exchange rate is relaxed and the present system of fluctuating and volatile exchange rates is assumed to be the case, then it can be shown that the case of riba al-nasia breaks down. We rewrite his example: "In a given moment in time when the market rate of exchange between dollar and rupee is 1:20, if an individual purchases $50 at the rate of 1:22 (settlement of his obligation in rupees deferred to a future date), then it is highly probable that he is , in fact, borrowing Rs. 1000 now in lieu of a promise to repay Rs. 1100 on a specified later date. (Since, he can obtain Rs 1000 now, exchanging the $50 purchased on credit at spot rate)" This would be so, only if the currency risk is non-existent (exchange rate remains at 1:20), or is borne by the seller of dollars (buyer repays in rupees and not in dollars). If the former is true, then the seller of the dollars (lender) receives a predetermined return of ten percent when he converts Rs1100 received on the maturity date into $55 (at an exchange rate of 1:20). However, if the latter is true, then the return to the seller (or the lender) is not predetermined. It need not even be positive. For example, if the rupee-dollar exchange rate increases to 1:25, then the seller of dollar would receive only $44 (Rs 1100 converted into dollars) for his investment of $50.
Here two points are worth noting. First, when one assumes a fixed exchange rate regime, the distinction between currencies of different countries gets diluted. The situation becomes similar to exchanging pounds with sterlings (currencies belonging to the same country) at a fixed rate. Second, when one assumes a volatile exchange rate system, then just as one can visualize lending through the foreign currency market (mechanism suggested in the above example), one can also visualize lending through any other organized market (such as, for commodities or stocks.) If one replaces dollars for stocks in the above example, it would read as: "In a given moment in time when the market price of stock X is Rs 20, if an individual purchases 50 stocks at the rate of Rs 22 (settlement of his obligation in rupees deferred to a future date), then it is highly probable that he is , in fact, borrowing Rs. 1000 now in lieu of a promise to repay Rs. 1100 on a specified later date. (Since, he can obtain Rs 1000 now, exchanging the 50 stocks purchased on credit at current price)" In this case too as in the earlier example, returns to the seller of stocks may be negative if stock price rises to Rs 25 on the settlement date. Hence, just as returns in the stock market or commodity market are Islamically acceptable because of the price risk, so are returns in the currency market because of fluctuations in the prices of currencies.
A unique feature of thaman haqiqi or gold and silver is that the intrinsic worth of the currency is equal to its face value. Thus, the question of different geographical boundaries within which a given currency, such as, dinar or dirham circulates, is completely irrelevant. Gold is gold whether in country A or country B. Thus, when currency of country A made of gold is exchanged for currency of country B, also made of gold, then any deviation of the exchange rate from unity or deferment of settlement by either party cannot be permitted as it would clearly involve riba al-fadl and also riba al-nasia. However, when paper currencies of country A is exchanged for paper currency of country B, the case may be entirely different. The price risk (exchange rate risk), if positive, would eliminate any possibility of riba al-nasia in the exchange with deferred settlement. However, if price risk (exchange rate risk) is zero, then such exchange could be a source of riba al-nasia if deferred settlement is permitted7.
Another point that merits serious consideration is the possibility that certain currencies may possess thamaniyya, that is, used as a medium of exchange, unit of account, or store of value globally, within the domestic as well as foreign countries. For instance, US dollar is legal tender within US; it is also acceptable as a medium of exchange or unit of account for a large volume of transactions across the globe. Thus, this specific currency may be said to possesses thamaniyya globally, in which case, jurists may impose the relevant injunctions on exchanges involving this specific currency to prevent riba al-nasia. The fact is that when a currency possesses thamaniyya globally, then economic units using this global currency as the medium of exchange, unit of account or store of value may not be concerned about risk arising from volatility of inter-country exchange rates. At the same time, it should be recognized that a large majority of currencies do not perform the functions of money except within their national boundaries where these are legal tender.
Riba and risk cannot coexist in the same contract. The former connotes a possibility of returns with zero risk and cannot be earned through a market with positive price risk. As has been discussed above, the possibility of riba al-fadl or riba al-nasia may arise in exchange when gold or silver function as thaman; or when the exchange involves paper currencies belonging to the same country; or when the exchange involves currencies of different countries following a fixed exchange rate system. The last possibility is perhaps unIslamic8 since price or exchange rate of currencies should be allowed to fluctuate freely in line with changes in demand and supply and also because prices should reflect the intrinsic worth or purchasing power of currencies. The foreign currency markets of today are characterised by volatile exchange rates. The gains or losses made on any transaction in currencies of different countries, are justified by the risk borne by the parties to the contract.
2.1.4. Possibility of Riba with Futures and Forwards
So far, we have discussed views on the permissibility of bai salam in currencies, that is, when the obligation of only one of the parties to the exchange is deferred. What are the views of scholars on deferment of obligations of both parties ? Typical example of such contracts are forwards and futures9. According to a large majority of scholars, this is not permissible on various grounds, the most important being the element of risk and uncertainty (gharar) and the possibility of speculation of a kind which is not permissible. This is discussed in section 3. However, another ground for rejecting such contracts may be riba prohibition. In the preceding paragraph we have discussed that bai salam in currencies with fluctuating exchange rates can not be used to earn riba because of the presence of currency risk. It is possible to demonstrate that currency risk can be hedged or reduced to zero with another forward contract transacted simultaneously. And once risk is eliminated, the gain clearly would be riba.
We modify and rewrite the same example: "In a given moment in time when the market rate of exchange between dollar and rupee is 1:20, an individual purchases $50 at the rate of 1:22 (settlement of his obligation in rupees deferred to a future date), and the seller of dollars also hedges his position by entering into a forward contract to sell Rs1100 to be received on the future date at a rate of 1:20, then it is highly probable that he is , in fact, borrowing Rs. 1000 now in lieu of a promise to repay Rs. 1100 on a specified later date. (Since, he can obtain Rs 1000 now, exchanging the 50 dollars purchased on credit at spot rate)" The seller of the dollars (lender) receives a predetermined return of ten percent when he converts Rs1100 received on the maturity date into 55 dollars (at an exchange rate of 1:20) for his investment of 50 dollars irrespective of the market rate of exchange prevailing on the date of maturity.
Another simple possible way to earn riba may even involve a spot transaction and a simultaneous forward transaction. For example, the individual in the above example purchases $50 on a spot basis at the rate of 1:20 and simultaneously enters into a forward contract with the same party to sell $50 at the rate of 1:21 after one month. In effect this implies that he is lending Rs1000 now to the seller of dollars for one month and earns an interest of Rs50 (he receives Rs1050 after one month. This is a typical buy-back or repo (repurchase) transaction so common in conventional banking.10
3. The Issue of Freedom from Gharar3.1 Defining Gharar
Gharar, unlike riba, does not have a consensus definition. In broad terms, it connotes risk and uncertainty. It is useful to view gharar as a continuum of risk and uncertainty wherein the extreme point of zero risk is the only point that is well-defined. Beyond this point, gharar becomes a variable and the gharar involved in a real life contract would lie somewhere on this continuum. Beyond a point on this continuum, risk and uncertainty or gharar becomes unacceptable11. Jurists have attempted to identify such situations involving forbidden gharar. A major factor that contributes to gharar is inadequate information (jahl) which increases uncertainty. This is when the terms of exchange, such as, price, objects of exchange, time of settlement etc. are not well-defined. Gharar is also defined in terms of settlement risk or the uncertainty surrounding delivery of the exchanged articles.
Islamic scholars have identified the conditions which make a contract uncertain to the extent that it is forbidden. Each party to the contract must be clear as to the quantity, specification, price, time, and place of delivery of the contract. A contract, say, to sell fish in the river involves uncertainty about the subject of exchange, about its delivery, and hence, not Islamically permissible. The need to eliminate any element of uncertainty inherent in a contract is underscored by a number of traditions.12
An outcome of excessive gharar or uncertainty is that it leads to the possibility of speculation of a variety which is forbidden. Speculation in its worst form, is gambling. The holy Quran and the traditions of the holy prophet explicitly prohibit gains made from games of chance which involve unearned income. The term used for gambling is maisir which literally means getting something too easily, getting a profit without working for it. Apart from pure games of chance, the holy prophet also forbade actions which generated unearned incomes without much productive efforts.13
Here it may be noted that the term speculation has different connotations. It always involves an attempt to predict the future outcome of an event. But the process may or may not be backed by collection, analysis and interpretation of relevant information. The former case is very much in conformity with Islamic rationality. An Islamic economic unit is required to assume risk after making a proper assessment of risk with the help of information. All business decisions involve speculation in this sense. It is only in the absence of information or under conditions of excessive gharar or uncertainty that speculation is akin to a game of chance and is reprehensible.
3.2 Gharar & Speculation with of Futures & Forwards
Considering the case of the basic exchange contracts highlighted in section 1, it may be noted that the third type of contract where settlement by both the parties is deferred to a future date is forbidden, according to a large majority of jurists on grounds of excessive gharar. Futures and forwards in currencies are examples of such contracts under which two parties become obliged to exchange currencies of two different countries at a known rate at the end of a known time period. For example, individuals A and B commit to exchange US dollars and Indian rupees at the rate of 1: 22 after one month. If the amount involved is $50 and A is the buyer of dollars then, the obligations of A and B are to make a payments of Rs1100 and $50 respectively at the end of one month. The contract is settled when both the parties honour their obligations on the future date.
Traditionally, an overwhelming majority of Sharia scholars have disapproved such contracts on several grounds. The prohibition applies to all such contracts where the obligations of both parties are deferred to a future date, including contracts involving exchange of currencies. An important objection is that such a contract involves sale of a non-existent object or of an object not in the possession of the seller. This objection is based on several traditions of the holy prophet.14 There is difference of opinion on whether the prohibition in the said traditions apply to foodstuffs, or perishable commodities or to all objects of sale. There is, however, a general agreement on the view that the efficient cause (illa) of the prohibition of sale of an object which the seller does not own or of sale prior to taking possession is gharar, or the possible failure to deliver the goods purchased.
Is this efficient cause (illa) present in an exchange involving future contracts in currencies of different countries ? In a market with full and free convertibility or no constraints on the supply of currencies, the probability of failure to deliver the same on the maturity date should be no cause for concern. Further, the standardized nature of futures contracts and transparent operating procedures on the organized futures markets15 is believed to minimize this probability. Some recent scholars have opined in the light of the above that futures, in general, should be permissible. According to them, the efficient cause (illa), that is, the probability of failure to deliver was quite relevant in a simple, primitive and unorganized market. It is no longer relevant in the organized futures markets of today16. Such contention, however, continues to be rejected by the majority of scholars. They underscore the fact that futures contracts almost never involve delivery by both parties. On the contrary, parties to the contract reverse the transaction and the contract is settled in price difference only. For example, in the above example, if the currency exchange rate changes to 1: 23 on the maturity date, the reverse transaction for individual A would mean selling $50 at the rate of 1:23 to individual B. This would imply A making a gain of Rs50 (the difference between Rs1150 and Rs1100). This is exactly what B would lose. It may so happen that the exchange rate would change to 1:21 in which case A would lose Rs50 which is what B would gain. This obviously is a zero-sum game in which the gain of one party is exactly equal to the loss of the other. This possibility of gains or losses (which theoretically can touch infinity) encourages economic units to speculate on the future direction of exchange rates. Since exchange rates fluctuate randomly, gains and losses are random too and the game is reduced to a game of chance. There is a vast body of literature on the forecastability of exchange rates and a large majority of empirical studies have provided supporting evidence on the futility of any attempt to make short-run predictions. Exchange rates are volatile and remain unpredictable at least for the large majority of market participants. Needless to say, any attempt to speculate in the hope of the theoretically infinite gains is, in all likelihood, a game of chance for such participants. While the gains, if they materialize, are in the nature of maisir or unearned gains, the possibility of equally massive losses do indicate a possibility of default by the loser and hence, gharar.
3.3. Risk Management in Volatile Markets
Hedging or risk reduction adds to planning and managerial efficiency. The economic justification of futures and forwards is in term of their role as a device for hedging. In the context of currency markets which are characterized by volatile rates, such contracts are believed to enable the parties to transfer and eliminate risk arising out of such fluctuations. For example, modifying the earlier example, assume that individual A is an exporter from India to US who has already sold some commodities to B, the US importer and anticipates a cashflow of $50 (which at the current market rate of 1:22 mean Rs 1100 to him) after one month. There is a possibility that US dollar may depreciate against Indian rupee during these one month, in which case A would realize less amount of rupees for his $50 ( if the new rate is 1:21, A would realize only Rs1050 ). Hence, A may enter into a forward or future contract to sell $50 at the rate of 1:21.5 at the end of one month (and thereby, realize Rs1075) with any counterparty which, in all probability, would have diametrically opposite expectations regarding future direction of exchange rates. In this case, A is able to hedge his position and at the same time, forgoes the opportunity of making a gain if his expectations do not materialize and US dollar appreciates against Indian rupee (say, to 1:23 which implies that he would have realized Rs1150, and not Rs1075 which he would realize now.) While hedging tools always improve planning and hence, performance, it should be noted that the intention of the contracting party - whether to hedge or to speculate, can never be ascertained.
It may be noted that hedging can also be accomplished with bai salam in currencies. As in the above example, exporter A anticipating a cash inflow of $50 after one month and expecting a depreciation of dollar may go for a salam sale of $50 (with his obligation to pay $50 deferred by one month.) Since he is expecting a dollar depreciation, he may agree to sell $50 at the rate of 1: 21.5. There would be an immediate cash inflow in Rs 1075 for him. The question may be, why should the counterparty pay him rupees now in lieu of a promise to be repaid in dollars after one month. As in the case of futures, the counterparty would do so for profit, if its expectations are diametrically opposite, that is, it expects dollar to appreciate. For example, if dollar appreciates to 1: 23 during the one month period, then it would receive Rs1150 for Rs 1075 it invested in the purchase of $50. Thus, while A is able to hedge its position, the counterparty is able to earn a profit on trading of currencies. The difference from the earlier scenario is that the counterparty would be more restrained in trading because of the investment required, and such trading is unlikely to take the shape of rampant speculation.
4. Summary & ConclusionCurrency markets of today are characterized by volatile exchange rates. This fact should be taken note of in any analysis of the three basic types of contracts in which the basis of distinction is the possibility of deferment of obligations to future. We have attempted an assessment of these forms of contracting in terms of the overwhelming need to eliminate any possibility of riba, minimize gharar, jahl and the possibility of speculation of a kind akin to games of chance. In a volatile market, the participants are exposed to currency risk and Islamic rationality requires that such risk should be minimized in the interest of efficiency if not reduced to zero.
It is obvious that spot settlement of the obligations of both parties would completely prohibit riba, and gharar, and minimize the possibility of speculation. However, this would also imply the absence of any technique of risk management and may involve some practical problems for the participants.
At the other extreme, if the obligations of both the parties are deferred to a future date, then such contracting, in all likelihood, would open up the possibility of infinite unearned gains and losses from what may be rightly termed for the majority of participants as games of chance. Of course, these would also enable the participants to manage risk through complete risk transfer to others and reduce risk to zero. It is this possibility of risk reduction to zero which may enable a participant to earn riba. Future is not a new form of contract. Rather the justification for proscribing it is new. If in a simple primitive economy, it was prevention of gharar relating to delivery of the exchanged article, in todays' complex financial system and organized exchanges, it is prevention of speculation of kind which is unIslamic and which is possible under excessive gharar involved in forecasting highly volatile exchange rates. Such speculation is not just a possibility, but a reality. The precise motive of an economic unit entering into a future contract - speculation or hedging may not ascertainable ( regulators may monitor end use, but such regulation may not be very practical, nor effective in a free market). Empirical evidence at a macro level, however, indicates the former to be the dominant motive.
The second type of contracting with deferment of obligations of one of the parties to a future date falls between the two extremes. While Sharia scholars have divergent views about its permissibility, our analysis reveals that there is no possibility of earning riba with this kind of contracting. The requirement of spot settlement of obligations of atleast one party imposes a natural curb on speculation, though the room for speculation is greater than under the first form of contracting. The requirement amounts to imposition of a hundred percent margin which, in all probability, would drive away the uninformed speculator from the market. This should force the speculator to be a little more sure of his expectations by being more informed. When speculation is based on information it is not only permissible, but desirable too. Bai salam would also enable the participants to manage risk. At the same time, the requirement of settlement from one end would dampen the tendency of many participants to seek a complete transfer of perceived risk and encourage them to make a realistic assessment of the actual risk. .
Notes & References1. These diverse views are reflected in the papers presented at the Fourth Fiqh Seminar organized by the Islamic Fiqh Academy, India in 1991 which were subsequently published in Majalla Fiqh Islami, part 4 by the Academy. The discussion on riba prohibition draws on these views.
2. Nabil Saleh, Unlawful gain and Legitimate Profit in Islamic Law, Graham and Trotman, London, 1992, p.16
3. Ibn Qudama, al-Mughni, vol.4, pp.5-9
4. Shams al Din al Sarakhsi, al-Mabsut, vol 14, pp 24-25
5. Paper presented by Abdul Azim Islahi at the Fourth Fiqh Seminar organized by Islamic Fiqh Academy, India in 1991.
6. Paper by Dr M N Siddiqui highlighting the issue was circulated among all leading Fiqh scholars by the Islamic Fiqh Academy, India for their views and was the main theme of deliberations during the session on Currency Exchange at the Fourth Fiqh Seminar held in 1991.
7. It is contended by some that the above example may be modified to show the possibility of riba with spot settlement too. "In a given moment in time when the market rate of exchange between dollar and rupee is 1:20, if an individual purchases $50 at the rate of 1:22 (settlement of his obligation also on a spot basis), then it amounts to the seller of dollars exchanging $50 with $55 on a spot basis (Since, he can obtain Rs 1100 now, exchange them for $55 at spot rate of 1:20)" Thus, spot settlement can also be a clear source of riba. Does this imply that spot settlement should be proscribed too ? The fallacy in the above and earlier examples is that there is no single contract but multiple contracts of exchange occurring at different points in time (true even in the above case). Riba can be earned only when the spot rate of 1:20 is fixed during the time interval between the transactions. This assumption is, needless to say, unrealistic and if imposed artificially, perhaps unIslamic.
8. Islam envisages a free market where prices are determined by forces of demand and supply. There should be no interference in the price formation process even by the regulators. While price control and fixation is generally accepted as unIslamic, some scholars, such as, Ibn Taimiya do admit of its permissibility. However, such permissibility is subject to the condition that price fixation is intended to combat cases of market anomalies caused by impairing the conditions of free competition. If market conditions are normal, forces of demand and supply should be allowed a free play in determination of prices.
9. Some Islamic scholars use the term forward to connote a salam sale. However, we use this term in the conventional sense where the obligations of both parties are deferred to a future date and hence, are similar to futures in this sense. The latter however, are standardized contracts and are traded on an organized Futures Exchange while the former are specific to the requirements of the buyer and seller.
10. This is known as bai al inah which is considered forbidden by almost all scholars with the exception of Imam Shafii. Followers of the same school, such as Al Nawawi do not consider it Islamically permissible.
11. It should be noted that modern finance theories also distinguish between conditions of risk and uncertainty and assert that rational decision making is possible only under conditions of risk and not under conditions of uncertainty. Conditions of risk refer to a situation where it is possible with the help of available data to estimate all possible outcomes and their corresponding probabilities, or develop the ex-ante probability distribution. Under conditions of uncertainty, no such exercise is possible. The definition of gharar, Real-life situations, of course, fall somewhere in the continuum of risk and uncertainty.
12. The following traditions underscore the need to avoid contracts involving uncertainty.
Ibn Abbas reported that when Allah's prophet (pbuh) came to Medina, they were paying one and two years advance for fruits, so he said: "Those who pay in advance for any thing must do so for a specified weight and for a definite time".
It is reported on the authority of Ibn Umar that the Messenger of Allah (pbuh) forbade the transaction called habal al-habala whereby a man bought a she-camel which was to be the off-spring of a she-camel and which was still in its mother's womb.
13. According to a tradition reported by Abu Huraira, Allah's Messenger (pbuh) forbade a transaction determined by throwing stones, and the type which involves some uncertainty.
The form of gambling most popular to Arabs was gambling by casting lots by means of arrows, on the principle of lottery, for division of carcass of slaughtered animals. The carcass was divided into unequal parts and marked arrows were drawn from a bag. One received a large or small share depending on the mark on the arrow drawn. Obviously it was a pure game of chance.
14. The holy prophet is reported to have said " Do not sell what is not with you"
Ibn Abbas reported that the prophet said: "He who buys foodstuff should not sell it until he has taken possession of it." Ibn Abbas said: "I think it applies to all other things as well".
15. The Futures Exchange performs an important function of providing a guarantee for delivery by all parties to the contract. It serves as the counterparty in the exchange for both, that is, as the buyer for the sale and as the seller for the purchase.
16. M Hashim Kamali "Islamic Commercial Law: An Analysis of Futures", The American Journal of Islamic Social Sciences, vol.13, no.2, 1996
Send Your Comments to: Dr Mohammed Obaidullah, Xavier Institute of Management, Bhubaneswar 751 013, India Mail to: obeid@ximb.stpbh.soft.net Source: http://vlib.unitarklj1.edu.my/htm/islamforex.htm

Apa kelebihan Forex (Valas) Online dibandingkan Investasi lain :

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Mengapa anda perlu Belajar Bisnis Forex (Valas) Online :

  • Di forex, anda adalah boss anda sendiri, tidak ada lagi yang akan memarahi anda, menyuruh anda melakukan pekerjaan-pekerjaan yang membosankan, kenaikan gaji yang tak sesuai keinginan, atau bahkan memecat anda.
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Belajar Forex (Valas) Online ? Mendengar kata Trading Forex atau Valas, seringkali timbul negative thinking dalam benak anda bahwa trading forex (valas) online adalah suatu bentuk gambling, pekerjaan yang tak menjanjikan, beresiko tinggi, membutuhkan modal besar, tidak halal, dan lain sebagainya. Stereotype di atas menyebabkan bisnis trading forex (valas) seringkali dipandang sebelah mata di masyarakat kita. Hal ini tidak dipungkiri karena adanya trader forex lokal yang seringkali menggunakan cara setengah judi (gambling) dalam memainkan dana klien mereka, tanpa ada rasa tanggung jawab akan dana klien yang bersangkutan. Kalau kebetulan menang akan lebih banyak klien yang memasukkan dana untuk mereka mainkan. Kalau pun kalah toh masih mendapat komisi. Yang menjadi korban tentu saja klien (anda). Memang masih banyak trader (fund manager) yang bekerja secara profesional dan bertanggung jawab terhadap dana klien mereka. Tapi bagaimanapun jauh lebih baik jika anda sendiri yang memulai trading dan menghasilkan uang tanpa "menyerahkan nasib" dana anda kepada pihak lain. Mengapa ?
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